Betting Unders to me gives out weird vibes.
Didn’t know how many I wanted to do.
Figured a nice round number of 10 would suffice.
Season-long bets are ones I like to invest a little more in.
Otherwise it’s a pretty anticlimactic wait whether you win or lose.
That means picking and choosing spots with care and serious discretion.
So here we are.
Either way, appreciate the hear-out on my rationale.
I rode CMC then, and am doing so again this time around.
Kyle Shanahan is in football heaven with McCaffrey in his backfield.
The system Shanahan runs is notoriously complex.
STILL piled up 746 yards on the ground in only 11 games with San Francisco.
That was with 52 receptions, by the way.
I’m at a loss as to why those who set the lines are doubting McCaffrey again.
I have my doubts that Elijah Mitchell will vulture away too many carries.
The Giants got him in the third.
Darren Waller is basically a wide receiver in a tight end’s body.
He’s a better pure athlete than any skill player the G-Men have.
Brian Daboll is a very, very smart head coach.
Sucks that the juice on Waller’s total receiving yards was -115 when I got it.
Nevertheless, I’m all for it.
The coaches aren’t dumb enough to not get him triple-digit targets this season.
Waller’s stock is low due to how underwhelming the end of his time with the Raiders was.
Thought it was a great spot to buy in.
Michael Pittman Jr. and Alec Pierce provide Richardson with two big-bodied targets on the outside.
I also think rookie Josh Downs is going to push Isaiah McKenzie for reps in the slot.
Steichen was instrumental in Jalen Hurts' rise to superstardom during his time as the Eagles' offensive coordinator.
Richardson is phenomenal in the pocket.
He can extend plays with his insane athleticism.
More action on Fields for MVP than Patrick Mahomes, Justin Herbert and Josh Allen combined.
Pretty insane to think about.
Seems prudent to believe a guy when he’s pulling stunts like that.
For real though, Deebo had 77 receptions for 1,405 yards in 2021.
That guy didn’t just disappear.
Shanahan is a master at getting his top playmaker the ball.
Look no further than the innovative choice to use Deebo as a de facto tailback at times.
Deebo only needs to average 45.6 yards in 17 games to hit his Over threshold of 776.
Doable to say the least for someone who gets 63.3 per outing for his career.
That didn’t stop Terry McLaurin from clearing 4.5 for the third time in his four-year career.
Can’t quite put my finger on it.
Reality is, hasn’t much mattered who’s under center for Washington.
McLaurin is one of those guys who produces regardless.
Similar success should be in store for McLaurin.
Ja’Marr Chase, WR, Cincinnati Bengals OVER 1300.5 Receiving Yards
WHO DEYYYYY.
Ja’Marr Chase had 81 catches for 1,455 yards as a rookie.
Despite missing five games in ‘22, he still managed over 1,000 yards on 87 receptions.
Another season further along.
Even more of an ESP connection with Joe Burrow.
I know 1,300 is a big number.
I often seek out totals that are far lower and hunt for value.
But somebody’s gotta be near the top of the NFL in receiving yards.
I see zero reason as to why Chase won’t be.
He’s a threat to score every single time he touches the rock.
The guy managed over 1,100 yards rushing in ‘22 behindPFF’s second-worst run blocking offensive line.
Can’t imagine Jacksonville doesn’t fare better in the trenches going forward.
Doug Pederson wouldn’t throw such an outlandish number out for no reason.
Etienne is going to be the Jags’ bell cow back.
There is no ambiguity about it whatsoever.
Say they clinch the AFC South early and Etienne plays in only 16 games.
He’d still only 59.4 rushing yards per game he’d need to hit 951.
Amon-Ra St. Brown, WR, Detroit Lions OVER 1000.5 Receiving Yards
One-hundred and ninety-six catches.
That’s how many balls Amon-Ra St. Brown has hauled in with the Lions.
St. Brown is another guy I rode this past season.
I believe his total was only, like, 880.5.
The oddsmakers were wise to bump that up.
Is that…good…?
Now he’s landed in New Orleans.
A necessary change of scenery.
