Did you knowNeuralis taking the stage this fall?
Youd be forgiven, then, if you didnt think highly of the so-called wisdom of crowds.
It’s free, every week, in your inbox.
Well, thats because everybody and their mother said they were going to vote for Hillary Clinton.
Nobody took the scattered millions here and there who said they werent very seriously.
It works by asking an objective question such as, is Philadelphia the capital of Pennsylvania?
And then you also ask, will most other people answer yes or no?
People familiar with US geography will know that Harrisburg is the capital, so the correct answer is no.
It also reduced errors by 22.2 percent compared to answers with the highest average confidence levels.
Per team lead Hadi Hassani:
One does not require to fully elicit complete rankings and predictions of others.
And this is true for recovering either only the top choice or the full ranking.
Behold the power of math!
you’re free to read the Pennsylvania teams whole research paperhere.
