Id be surprised if we dont have AGI by then.
Hopefully, people on Mars too.
Elon Musk (@elonmusk)May 30, 2022
2029 feels like a pivotal year.
Id be surprised if we dont have AGI by then.
Hopefully, people on Mars too.
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To the layperson unfamiliar with computer science, this probably just seems like a really smart person being optimistic.
How much are you willing to bet?https://t.co/9pxVgyMMqm
Gary Marcus ?
In that case, or if none are broken, I win.
AI isnt magic; its science.
Then he said theyd be here the next year.
And the one after that.
Heres Musk promising driverless cars in 2014 (and every year after that!
):
And then theres Hyperloop.
Its beencalled a deathtrap.
The company Musk said was going to cure autism?
And that brings us to the pinnacle of cow manure-based technology that is the Tesla Optimus robot.
The above video demonstrates how much progress Tesla made on the project before the announcement: exactly zero.
What you see in that video is a human wearing spandex.
Thats not an insult to MITs robotics lab.
Its a jab at anyone who thinks building robots is easy.
But nobody gives a crap what I think.
Elon Musk is the richest man alive and Im just a journalist who shouldlearn to code.
But I also note that we are still waiting on Teslas autonomous taxi fleets.
General-purpose robots are in many ways even more challenging, because the variety of human experience is so vast.
I dont see it happening this decade.
So Wadhwa decided to match Marcus wager.
But not a word from Musk.
So whats the hold up Musk?
Its virtually impossible to imagine that you havent heard about the bet.
Cluck cluck, Musk fans.
